Chapter 1
Refining Probablity
Alan S. Go, MD

OUTLINE

  • Introduction: An Approach to the Art of Medical Diagnosis
  • An Equation for the Use of Diagnostic Tests: "What we thought before" + "Test information" = "What we think after"
  • Maximizing Your Pretest Probability Estimates: "What we thought before"
  • Sensitivity, Specificity, Predictive Value, & Likelihood Ratios Explained: "Test information"
  • Putting the Equation Back Together Using Likelihood Ratios: "What we think after"
  • Summary